At their peak two years ago Sinn Fein had a 17pp lead. They're now in third in the latest Irish opinion polls. (View Post)

No party to receive more than 30% at the next election feels pretty likely to me, at which point all sort of wild results are possible. Lib Dems are 100/1 to be most seats at the next election. (View Post)

Vance is now reduced to saying that there's no evidence that the pet-eating didn't happen, to which the only possible response is that there's no evidence that the Republican nominee f… (View Post)

Although we must remember that newsworthiness isn't an objective metric, but a subjective one as decided by a small number of journalists and editors. So the next story could be even less conseq… (View Post)

1 big Russian ammunition depot on Thursday night, 2 big Russian ammunition depots on Friday night, I'm crossing my fingers for more huge explosions at Russian ammunition depots tonight. If you&#… (View Post)