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Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
Interesting to compare to the median of the entries. Q3. Number of MSPs won by the SNP at the Holyrood election? Answer 58 PB median 57 Q4. Number of AMs won by Plaid Cymru at the Senedd election? An… (View Post)1 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
Worth remembering that roughly twice as many people (~2.1 million) emigrated from Ireland due to the Famine, as died due to it (~1 million), and this was in the mid-19th century. It's reasonable… (View Post)1 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
I don't know, but that does seem to be the prevailing opinion of the market. There will be a deal and Hormuz will reopen, soon, and then everything will gradually return to normal. My guess is t… (View Post)4 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
What's interesting is that emigration is mostly of young British people, and the increase in net emigration is driven by fewer of these young people returning to Britain after spending dinner ti… (View Post)5 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
For the purpose of my contribution to the discussion today I am less concerned with what is economically or otherwise optimal, and more concerned with what there is political consent for. There isn… (View Post)4
