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Re: 6 months ago Andy Burnham was just a 7.5% chance of becoming the next Prime Minister
Let's say that a bad shuffle divides the deck into three sections, reversing the order of those sections. The first division is somewhere in the first half of the deck (maybe around 20 different… (View Post)1 -
Re: 6 months ago Andy Burnham was just a 7.5% chance of becoming the next Prime Minister
Nominations don't close until Friday at 4pm, so we can't know for sure. Imagine if Reform cock-up their nomination papers and there isn't a Reform candidate either? (View Post)5 -
Re: 6 months ago Andy Burnham was just a 7.5% chance of becoming the next Prime Minister
The deposit of £150 was introduced in 1918, which would be £7,581.71 in today's money. So £5,000 is not as high as it appears compared to the £500 deposit. (View Post)3 -
Re: The Biggest Change to PB in years – politicalbetting.com
The deposit has been £500 since 1985, before which it was £150. Had the deposit tracked inflation since 1985 it would now be £1,593.21. So, unlike most hobbies, it's one that has been becoming c… (View Post)3 -
Re: The Biggest Change to PB in years – politicalbetting.com
The received wisdom would suggest they're going to need to extend the y-axis on that graph for Clacton. And it shows that even saving their deposit would be an exceptional result for Binface. (View Post)1
