It's the largest Labour lead from Opinium since October 2022 and the Truss Calamity. That's not how swingback is supposed to happen. It's only one poll, but I think it's about as … (View Post)

The opposition parties are unlikely to be able to all work together. I don't see the Democratic Alliance forming a coalition with Zuma, for example. But if the ANC insist on Ramaphosa staying on… (View Post)

All betting markets are wrong, but some are profitable. (View Post)

There's some argument about raising tax revenue while minimising the hissing from the goose. But I can't remember it correctly. In terms of general tax-raising strategy VAT on school fees i… (View Post)

The main thing I take from this is that he clearly has different people in his focus groups then the opinion pollsters have in their online panels - I think this was something @isam would talk about … (View Post)