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Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
Worth remembering that roughly twice as many people (~2.1 million) emigrated from Ireland due to the Famine, as died due to it (~1 million), and this was in the mid-19th century. It's reasonable… (View Post)1 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
I don't know, but that does seem to be the prevailing opinion of the market. There will be a deal and Hormuz will reopen, soon, and then everything will gradually return to normal. My guess is t… (View Post)4 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
What's interesting is that emigration is mostly of young British people, and the increase in net emigration is driven by fewer of these young people returning to Britain after spending dinner ti… (View Post)5 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
For the purpose of my contribution to the discussion today I am less concerned with what is economically or otherwise optimal, and more concerned with what there is political consent for. There isn… (View Post)4 -
Re: PB Predictions Competition 2026 – update – politicalbetting.com
Impending mass global-famine related migration aside, it looks like net migration will stabilise well above 100,000, with net migration of non-EU+ nationals no lower than 200,000 (latest figure 350k)… (View Post)1
