The 1931 general election is the nearest we have. Labour, on 30.6% of the vote won only 52 seats, 24.4pp behind the Tories - but it was messy. The Tories only stood in 518 of the 615 candidates, beca… (View Post)

I think 29 seats is a reasonable prediction for vote shares of 47-20 with FPTP. Remember that in 2010, the Lib Dems received 23% of the vote, were only 6pp behind Labour and only 13.1pp behind the To… (View Post)

Taking the polls in aggregate, for all pollsters with polls post-election announcement, looking at the changes in party shares only (latest YouGov, compared to last pre-election YouGov). CON -1/3 LAB… (View Post)

That was my neck of the woods. For a brief golden period Boswall Parkway had the most amazing fresh pasta takeaway you could ever hope to come across - before they found their more natural home in St… (View Post)

Most of the cost for renewables is upfront, while for fossil fuels it's the cost of the fuel itself. So the increase in interest rates has increased the cost of financing renewable energy. (View Post)