Michael Howard tried to change the rules back when he was the leader and had to give it up. It was a lot easier to do before Hague wrote the leadership election rules into the Party constitution. (View Post)

I'm expecting three things to end up being true. 1. The Reform polling will, in part, prove to be a bit of a social media bubble and they won't turn out in the numbers suggested. 2. A lot o… (View Post)

The local election results would, I think, point to a result at around the ~200 seat mark. Very bad, but slightly better than 1997. However, Sunak's campaign has so far been weaker than Major�… (View Post)

I think it's very dangerous to make assumptions about how other people will vote, and so conclude that it's "safe" to vote a certain way. I vote in the hope that other people will… (View Post)

I think it's worth pointing out that my prediction would be historically awful for the Tories. A lower vote share than Major in 1997, lower even than in 1832. A huge loss of seats. One of the ve… (View Post)