They'll accept it only because they'd fear that not accepting it would lead to a worse outcome, which would indicate a pessimistic assessment of their chances if the US turns against them, … (View Post)

Not going to take this sort of thing seriously when the US administration is so keen to do business with Russia - y'know, an actual imperialist aggressor country invading a European democracy an… (View Post)

Apparently delegates have been asking China to take a leading role at the climate negotiations in the absence of the US, but they have demurred. I think you'd struggle to get China interested. (View Post)

The question for the Taiwanese is: what is Trump's price for selling out Taiwan to China? Likewise Japan and South Korea. All three countries have large incentives to establish a nuclear deterre… (View Post)

During WWI and WWII the UK ran budget deficits of ~25-30% of GDP. UK GDP is today about $3.6tn, so 25% of UK GDP would be $900bn. Per year. So about eight times the annual support provided to Ukraine… (View Post)