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Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
I think it's very dangerous to make assumptions about how other people will vote, and so conclude that it's "safe" to vote a certain way. I vote in the hope that other people will… (View Post)2 -
Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
I think it's worth pointing out that my prediction would be historically awful for the Tories. A lower vote share than Major in 1997, lower even than in 1832. A huge loss of seats. One of the ve… (View Post)1 -
Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
This link https://www.parliament.uk/globalassets/documents/commons/Scrutiny/22072015-KEY-FINANCE-TERMS.pdf gives these definitions: AME (Annually Managed Expenditure) – largely difficult to forecast … (View Post)1 -
Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
Coalition government most often neutralises small fringe parties and then destroys them - though obviously this is dependent on how the electorate responds. FPTP allows an extremist takeover of one s… (View Post)1 -
Re: Understanding the exit poll – politicalbetting.com
We have huge amounts being spent on debt interest. We have huge amounts being spent on the state pension, because of the demographic transition and the triple lock. So, yes, you can have high taxatio… (View Post)2
