I think it's too early to say, but it looks like they have a decent chance. On current counts they look like they are heading to 219-220 seats. So it's very close. (218 needed to win) (View Post)

It's interesting that Arizona is currently looking like it will be the closest of the swing states - completely contrary to the pre-election expectation. We really did know less than nothing. (View Post)

The most important thing to me now is that European countries choose to take a hold of their own destiny and back Ukraine to win - whatever it takes. I don't want to hear Starmer mouthing platit… (View Post)

So much for the legendary accuracy of the Selzer polling. Ooft. (View Post)

There's always a temptation to look for single causes when for something like this multiple factors will have been in play. Inflation and immigration, certainly, yes, but also Biden's failu… (View Post)