40% turnout would be amazing for Farage. It would be higher than for the Davis by-election in 2008, and his seat generally has much higher turnout than Clacton. Farage will be doing well if turnout s… (View Post)

Restore aren't standing, but a couple of candidates of that ilk are - Reclaim and the British Democrats. The BNP received 4.6% in 2010, so there's a good chance of one of those two saving t… (View Post)

If Binface was a local, so that local people knew him and could naturally be part of the joke, then I think he'd have a genuine chance of winning. There are going to be so many other minor and j… (View Post)

A North Korean style vote share for Farage, but on a record low turnout, would be pretty funny. The largest share of the vote in a peacetime by-election since 1918 is 97.4% (Ian Paisley, North Antrim… (View Post)

Yes. In Davis' 2008 by-election he received ~70% of the vote, the Greens and the English Democrats took another ~15%, and all three other candidates shared the final ~15%. I'd expect someth… (View Post)