Because it's not that relevant. We've seen from plenty of polling evidence, and by-elections, that most Tory voters are very happy to vote for Reform to try to defeat a party of the Left. S… (View Post)

A couple of wickets late today for everyone's favourite 43 year old knight. The second a beauty that took middle stump out of the ground. (View Post)

It would surely never pass the Lords with it not being a manifesto commitment. And there are plenty of Labour MPs opposed to PR on principle. And, it would instantly become deeply unpopular because i… (View Post)

True. This suggests that the failure in this case was in translating the opinion polls into a seats forecast, which has implications for general election predictions. (View Post)

Models are useful to help us understand reality. Here the model suggests that Reform did not do as well in the local elections as suggested by the polling, which suggests that their support is lower … (View Post)