Just a note on "hero voters". This is the name for the voters who didn't vote Labour after 2005 and before 2024. Labour's vote share in 2024 only went up by 1.6pp, while the "… (View Post)

One of the weirdnesses of the 2024GE was that in vote share terms Labour did really badly. They only increased their vote share by 1.6pp when the government party was shedding 19.9pp. Meanwhile you h… (View Post)

Given that we're expecting Labour to come third in the Welsh election I am petty enough to recall a PBer denouncing the new voting system in use today as being a gerrymander to ensure perpetual … (View Post)

Sure, but didn't the Baltic States all have to work that out in a hurry in 1991, and I don't think any of them ever regretted it? The idea that Scottish independence is impossible merely be… (View Post)

The constituency share of the vote for the SNP in Holyrood elections, and the IndyRef share for Yes, has been: 1999 28.7% 2003 23.8% 2007 32.9% 2011 45.4% 2014 IndyRef 44.7% 2016 46.5% 2021 47.7% 202… (View Post)