At the last GE: Labour 45.2% Reform 31.8% Tories 10.9% LibDems 6.8% Greens 4.4% EngDems 0.9% I think this is a tough by-election for Burnham to win. I'd think Labour could win a comfortable majo… (View Post)

Isn't this a bit like the Drake equation? And, even if you think he's strong odds-on for each separate stage, I think it adds up to him being odds-against. It's a 5-in-6 chance of roll… (View Post)

On Al Carns I will give you unknown - kinda hard to dispute that one when I'm about to correct you on him being a backbencher (he's current Armed Forces minister), but obviously you didn�… (View Post)

I mean, no, in that clearly lots of MPs want Starmer to go, but if Starmer doesn't resign, and most of the people who want Starmer gone are waiting for Burnham to become an MP, then the matter c… (View Post)

Ah well. I'm wrong again! Still, life would be a bit dull if I was right about everything. (View Post)