It's a simple consequence of chaos theory that the longer ahead you are trying to predict the more uncertain your prediction is. Given the central estimate of the current prediction, Sunak needs… (View Post)

I agree with just one tiny caveat. If any PM could come up with a too clever by half argument for holding an early election they were almost certain to lose by a record-setting margin it would be Sun… (View Post)

Parliament would have to be dissolved *today*, with no washup, for a June election on a Thursday. See https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9921/ (View Post)

That could be a fun twist. Scotland have their best ever performance, and the SNP hold enough seats to deny Labour a majority. (View Post)

Sweden and most of Eastern Europe (Poland, Czechia, etc) already recognise Palestine, as do most countries in South America, Africa and Asia. For all the difference it makes. (View Post)