Starmer, assuming he becomes PM on July 5th, and that Sunak is still PM then to go to the Palace to recommend his appointment as his successor to the Monarch, will be the 6th PM since the Russian sei… (View Post)

This morning people were saying that he'd chosen to have the campaign at this time precisely so that he could be at the D-day commemorations, and look Prime Ministerial, instead of on the campai… (View Post)

Suppose Labour are on 45%, and the Tories are on 20% and Reform on 10%. Then, in the next poll, enough 2019 Tory Don't Knows now say that they will vote Reform, increasing the number of people w… (View Post)

Where it might become meaningful is in terms of meeting other people in your social group who are intending to vote Tory/Reform, and social effects that follow from that. If you're a man of a ce… (View Post)

Farage and the Brexit Party received a 30.5% share and five and a quarter million votes in the 2019 European elections. 5.25 million votes would be 16% of a 32 million turnout (the number of votes at… (View Post)