It's possible he just wants to see the Tories defeated. There are a fair number of such partisans about, and if one of them had a load of dosh, well, what would give them more pleasure, then hel… (View Post)

By historical norms, even just in the democratic era, people are not really all that angry. Frustrated old people just aren't as much of a threat to public order as frustrated young people. (View Post)

When the lost SF support was going to right-wing anti-immigrant independents that did seem like the obvious explanation, but the latest polls show FF and FG doing very well, despite being the governm… (View Post)

At their peak two years ago Sinn Fein had a 17pp lead. They're now in third in the latest Irish opinion polls. (View Post)

No party to receive more than 30% at the next election feels pretty likely to me, at which point all sort of wild results are possible. Lib Dems are 100/1 to be most seats at the next election. (View Post)