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Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
Yes, size is not everything - but representativeness is a sticking plaster used to try to remedy the great weakness in opinion polls - that the samples are not random. If you had a truly random sampl… (View Post)1 -
Re: Popular mandates – politicalbetting.com
A lot would depend on the margin of a GOP Senate majority. If they have 51 or 52 Senators then it only takes 2 or 3 to vote something down. But that gets harder the larger the majority is. The other … (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
That's not how opinion polls [are supposed to] work. You need the same size sample for the same level of accuracy regardless of whether the population being sampled is 100,000 or 1 billion. (View Post)2 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
Sample size of 435. And the much discussed Selzer poll is not that much better, with a sample size of 808. The sample sizes of many US polls are embarrassingly small. (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
No, this seems to be an American quirk, where you keep your most senior title in perpetuity. For example, I've heard H Clinton referred to numerous times as "Secretary Clinton" in resp… (View Post)1
