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Re: The (lack of) incumbency bonus – politicalbetting.com
Not in the long-term, no. But there's a war on right now. You buy equipment and ammunition from whoever will sell it to you, while you also build up your own defence industry. (View Post)3 -
Re: The (lack of) incumbency bonus – politicalbetting.com
Deportations have already gone up under Labour and they are not notably benefitting from a surge in popularity as a result. Perhaps this is because they are unable to enjoy doing so in the way that T… (View Post)4 -
Re: Split ticketing is still real – politicalbetting.com
Even in a bad recession most people keep their jobs. Everyone notices when prices go up by 20%. (View Post)1 -
Re: Split ticketing is still real – politicalbetting.com
A lot of people have interpreted the relative outperformance of Democratic Senators over Kamala Harris as evidence of her weakness and unpopularity as a politician. But as I've argued before, what if… (View Post)2 -
Re: Split ticketing is still real – politicalbetting.com
The last government sure did waste a lot of money. What shall we name the bat tunnel when it's opened? The George Osborne Austerity Bat Tunnel? The Boris Johnson Levelling-Up Bat Tunnel? (View Post)1