It's interesting that Arizona is currently looking like it will be the closest of the swing states - completely contrary to the pre-election expectation. We really did know less than nothing. (View Post)

The most important thing to me now is that European countries choose to take a hold of their own destiny and back Ukraine to win - whatever it takes. I don't want to hear Starmer mouthing platit… (View Post)

So much for the legendary accuracy of the Selzer polling. Ooft. (View Post)

There's always a temptation to look for single causes when for something like this multiple factors will have been in play. Inflation and immigration, certainly, yes, but also Biden's failu… (View Post)

The swing in Iowa towards Trump looks to be about the same as the swing towards Trump in the other MidWest states - Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. If the poll had been broadly accur… (View Post)