In a FPTP system where the vote is split multiple ways all sorts of unexpected results can occur, because the winning vote share in large numbers of seats can be very low. What's likely to happen in … (View Post)

What's remarkable is how little damage the GOP have suffered. The lead for the Democrats in the generic ballot for the midterms is really quite small all things considered. And, who knows, the relief… (View Post)

I have some sympathy for Reeves. It increasingly looks like Starmer is an impossible Prime Minister to work for and many of the ways she looks like an idiot seem to be his fault. (View Post)

Anyone at a very senior level is to a very large extent reliant on the capability of the people they appoint to delegate doing things to. The issue here is that power in the British government has be… (View Post)

If Reeves had budgeted with a sensible safety margin then the entirely predictable fluctuations of a few £10bn here and there wouldn't affect her budget. (View Post)