That's the same methodology, it's just that the past vote they're weighting by has changed. It's possible that they would be more accurate because we're closer to the previou… (View Post)

A large sample improves the precision of a poll, but not its accuracy. So their large sample just meant they were more precisely wrong. The largest errors from opinion polls are not due to random sam… (View Post)

I need to get a bit of paper from a Court in England to get my mortgage in Ireland. It's been established, over four days of emails, that the Court has a copy of this bit of paper. I need to pay… (View Post)

The four year cycle means that 2025 locals will be compared to 2021, when Johnson was on a vaccine boost high. So Labour would have to go to some lengths to suffer a bloodbath next year. Plenty of ti… (View Post)

Hopefully this will give the Tories an effective angle to attack him on. (View Post)