Greetings from joyous and cosmopolitan Ireland where the happy population is fighting with the gardaí to prevent any building works they suspect is intended to house asylum seekers. (View Post)

Thanks. That covers some important points. Sounds like they will be covering seats in deep blue areas. I didn't know that they used a replica voting paper to ensure anonymity and improve accurac… (View Post)

Well, it's possible that Labour aren't 25 points ahead. The history of opinion polling is basically a history of making adjustments to the data collected to correct for the fact that the sa… (View Post)

This is a weird statement to make in light of electoral history. In the last four and a bit decades Labour have twice polled lower than 30% (1983 and 2010) while the lowest Tory poll share since 1832… (View Post)

The Tories are polling so much worse now than they were in 1997. The last time they polled >30% was a 31% in a Savanta poll with fieldwork of 23-25 June 2023. Before the 1997 GE the Tories polled … (View Post)