There was recently an ATACMS strike on a power plant in Belgorod, so I think the restriction on use of Western weapons in Russia was dropped previously. (View Post)

I think an Argentine invasion is currently pretty much impossible, as much because of the poor state of their armed forces as due to the British defences. In 2024, for example, their Navy only manage… (View Post)

Psychologically I'd guess it's quite hard to be the single holdout on a jury, if you know it is consequential. Easier if only a majority is needed, but then it's easier for other people to break with… (View Post)

It's a mix. War clarifies what actually works and what you want lots more of, and where you have a capability gap that needs filling with something new - as with all the many drone/anti-drone develop… (View Post)

It needs to be lots of different things, at scale, quickly. The important thing is that there has to be a strategy to win, and there has to be follow through to do what is required to achieve victory… (View Post)