That would be a dangerous precedent to set. Best avoided. The ideal outcome from Russia's war on Ukraine is a future where conflict with China becomes less likely, because they are deterred by t… (View Post)

China also doesn't need to invade any part of Russia. It's pretty hard for Russia to escape satrapy status wrt China now. That's actually one reason to tolerate India's continued … (View Post)

I'll add 4: Advancing into Russia easier than retaking fortified occupied Ukraine, makes Ukraine look more like a "winner", and therefore more likely to sustain US support. 5: Seizing … (View Post)

The panic has now produced reports of clashes with Ukrainian forces near Kromskie Byki - which is halfway between the border and the Kursk nuclear power plant. If this is legit, it's most likely… (View Post)

It's hard to know what is going on. There's one report of two Russian battalions being encircled in Sudzha, but it's hard to take seriously because there have been so many such reports… (View Post)