The main assumptions underpinning my gambling this election: - Labour to clean up in Scotland - Tories to overperform on seats (100+, if that counts as overperforming) - Reform vote not to materialis… (View Post)

I got on the East Surrey LD bet a few weeks ago after spotting it at 20s (it's my constituency) - that is a frankly ludicrous price for a party with a strong ground game and longstanding representati… (View Post)

I've taken the baby to Beckenham today to watch some cricket, and I've heard maybe three or four separate conversations around me of groups of very well-to-do looking, stereotypical Tory voters absol… (View Post)

I like this. I have a few small-stake bets at odds between 50 and 150-1 on relatively sensible Tories who are likely to keep their seats - Coutinho, Trott and Williamson - with the intention of tradi… (View Post)

Off topic betting post - I think Jasper Philipsen's stage win odds on the Tour de France sprint stages are far too short. He was under 1.9 for the first sprint stage which is absolutely ridiculous fo… (View Post)