Opinium has 2% Labour lead on 40% and Cons 38% (View Post)

Don't the State Legislatures (and Governor with veto?) decide the Congressional boundaries? That's where the Ds also need to make gains. (View Post)

Every year (apart from this when elections were cancelled). Particularly nerve-wracking if you're the candidate as I shall be next May! (View Post)

Interesting to see the impact on the next round of Scottish polling. This seems to be the first major Sturgeon/SNP blunder for some time. (View Post)

Oh, I don't know - how about the actual Tory share from last year's Euros to the General a few months later? (View Post)