IanB2
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Re: Some more election stats – politicalbetting.com
I’m hopeful they’ll be a fairly decent government, but the risk is that they could be like the LibDems in coalition, who did a tremendous amount of good work behind the scenes tinkering with complica… (View Post)4 -
Re: Some more election stats – politicalbetting.com
72 incoming (View Post)2 -
Re: Labour wins a majority but it is a bit complicated – politicalbetting.com
If a recount comes out with the opposite result, equally narrowly - which sounds quite possible in the circumstances you descibe, the party that won the first time is pretty much guaranteed a further… (View Post)1 -
Re: Labour wins a majority but it is a bit complicated – politicalbetting.com
Which is the pretty frank and decent answer that Mandleson gave last night, when asked about the low turnout and low Labour share, behind the apparent landslide. The psephological research that needs… (View Post)1 -
Re: Labour wins a majority but it is a bit complicated – politicalbetting.com
I expect the issue will be that despite the very large swing, it retained some element of non-proportionality (some residual UNS effect, if you will) which buggered up the MRP models that essentially… (View Post)1
