I'm not sure that Callaghan's hanging on is the best precedent for the Tories, tbh. (View Post)

The evidence suggests otherwise? The age/support graph used to rise steadily for the Tories with age, crossing over with Labour in middle age. Now it stays almost flat at 20% until the 50s, only make… (View Post)

This is what Meeks said a year ago, which surely contains food for thinking Tories (if that’s not an oxymoron): That’s not even the worst part of what’s coming for the Conservatives. If they are inde… (View Post)

If he pulls out, he’s neither nominee nor next president, so all my lays on that side of the contest pay out. Plus the lays that Harris won’t be the VP nominee are likely to pay out too. The lays on … (View Post)

They will have fished out the spreadsheet used last time, when there were four candidates, and edited in extra rows for this time’s seven. Or something similar with the latest set of polling district… (View Post)