Just be grateful it is Leon who is predicting it, which should greatly relieve us all. (View Post)

At least two GEs of the last century produced a winner, in terms of most seats, that was the second placed party in terms of number of votes. See for example 1951, Tory majority despite Labour winnin… (View Post)

which is at least an improvement on actively making everything worse, as the last lot did. (View Post)

Surely there's a big mistake in either the model, or the data copied into the lead, if the Greens do as well as the LibDems on many of the systems and better on "List PR", when they on… (View Post)

Not necessarily. There have been several elections in which the party benefitting was the one in second place - and a gross distortion is quite likely in an election where the vote shares for any of … (View Post)