Every PB’er should revere the original Reggie Perrin, not least because the Sunshine Desserts market research woman so very clearly inspired our own HY’s regular analysis of opinion polling. (View Post)

Indeed. HY is effectively posting a small subsample of a poll. (View Post)

That used to be true for the major parties, especially if you're looking to spend most of your time in the town hall rather than working in your patch, but it isn't necessarily so as an ind… (View Post)

The variability on LD seats is probably quite limited - they'll do well in their strong areas, but won't gain that many and not lose that many, either. So that bet is essentially a gamble o… (View Post)

To be honest, I’ve switched out from this series of leads. While they started by, quite legitimately, challenging the received wisdom that Brexit has been immensely damaging, the direction of their a… (View Post)