I still suggest it's about avoiding the total loss. Change the proposition to, say, a guaranteed £100,000 or a 50% chance of winning £1m and a 50% chance of winning £25,000, and I bet the second… (View Post)

More specifically, it's avoiding the feeling you'd have if you chose the gamble and came away with nothing at all, that is motivating the statistically sub-optimal choice. (View Post)

But the Tories won't find a way back until voters have forgotten about the years of failure and grift; taking back those who were directly involved simply reminds voters how useless they all wer… (View Post)

The Barratt Home seats? (View Post)

Alastair clearly enjoyed writing about the demise of the Tories - indeed he says as much early on - but the flaw in his analysis, if there is one, is not that he's fixated on the triumph of the … (View Post)