FPT Of the three factions into which the Liberal Party had split, each with a tranche of MPs, one allied with the Tories and kept its separate ‘National Liberal’ identity for a surprisingly long time… (View Post)

The demographic models inevitably move you toward proportional swing, since the changes within each demographic subset are applied proportional to the numbers of that demographic in each seat. Wherea… (View Post)

You will probably find them here https://jonskeet.uk/election2024 (View Post)

I thought that when I turned up to a queue this morning. But they had four officials working, one walking up and down the line reminding people about photo ID, and I didn’t see anyone saying ‘oh shit… (View Post)

Good luck, but go prepared to be disappointed. Standing in a GE is an activity with very little relationship between effort and reward, let alone merit and reward. As a matter of simple mathematics, … (View Post)