Keep remembering, everyone, that it’s a model, not a (local) poll. The wood might be in the right place but the trees are most unlikely to be. (View Post)

A striking stat from the latest YouGov research is that, given a free choice, Labour would only poll around 28-29% of the voters actively wanting them as their first preference. All the rest - anothe… (View Post)

Nah, that will be yet another outlier. (View Post)

Yes, but he and Survation are spoiling our election night. We want to be surprised on the upside. (View Post)

Close, but not right. The A envelopes have to be opened to check the serial number of the returned ballot matches that sent to the voter. But the ballot paper should be kept face down at all times. O… (View Post)