Indeed, it would almost certainly have gone Labour had Truss stayed PM but I think the Tories might narrowly hold it with Rishi. (View Post)

On current approval ratings Biden would likely be heading to defeat. However Trump's first criminal trial starts next month and by November he may be in jail, so with Trump as his opponent Biden… (View Post)

Trump's aren't much better and Biden did win the rustbelt swing states unlike Hillary (View Post)

Trump isn't polling any higher than the 47% he got in 2020 in most polls, it is Biden well down on the 51% he got then. However although not keen on Biden, if Trump gets convicted the wavering 2… (View Post)

Conviction of a criminal offence wouldn't see Republican voters leave Trump but it could cost him support from Independents who are crucial in the general election (View Post)