Cleverly and Jenrick would also be close with Jenrick leading Cleverly by just 4%. Badenoch beats Cleverly by 8% and Jenrick and Badenoch beat Tugendhat by a clearer 16% margin (View Post)

Except they aren't, if they were Corbyn would now be PM as most graduates voted for him. As I said the key swing voters are lower middle class and skilled working class middle aged voters who vo… (View Post)

It is going to the wire and will come down to Pennsylvania and North Carolina, Harris needs to win one and Trump both (View Post)

Even Corbyn won graduates, they aren't the key swing voters now, the key swing voters now are white lower middle class and skilled working class middle aged voters with a mortgage who voted for … (View Post)

If Harris wins NC then she can probably still win even if she loses Pennsylvania. North Carolina has an above average percentage of college graduates and African Americans so is probably her best cha… (View Post)