Yes but they got away with it then as Blair and New Labour had massive poll leads until 2003. Now we already have a poll tonight putting the Tories ahead of Labour with Starmer and Reeves both deep i… (View Post)

There are few centre right swing voters left to peel off the Tories, they are down to their core vote. Indeed arguably if Badenoch or Jenrick doesn't work out at the next GE they might even be b… (View Post)

Really little difference between Badenoch and Jenrick amongst voters there. Both can take some encouragement that while Starmer leads them as preferred PM, despite his winning a landslide general ele… (View Post)

Thanks. In 2021 the LE results were in terms of NEV Lab 29%, Con 36%, LDs 17%. So those results from local by elections suggest both Labour and the Tories will lose county council seats next year wit… (View Post)

SoCal National Trump 50% Harris 49% Arizona Trump 50% Harris 49% Pennsylvania Harris 50% Trump 48% https://substack.com/inbox/post/151014002?r=4aupgp (View Post)