Blackpool was 67.5% Leave, if Reform can't beat the Tories there, where can they? (View Post)

478 council seats lost could be worse for the Conservatives. At this stage of the local elections cycle the Tories lost 607 council seats in 1996 for instance and Labour lost almost as many, 464, in … (View Post)

RefUK momentum will collapse by Friday given they will win barely any councillors and be even beaten by the Greens in the London Mayor and Assembly races. (View Post)

No, only in PR elections like for the EU Parliament (View Post)

Kerry led Bush in most May 2004 polls, indeed CBS had Kerry 6% ahead of Bush. Bush went on to win. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2004/bush-vs-kerry In May 1992 Gallup had P… (View Post)