I think those who were going to defect to Reform even while Kemi is leader already have, the Tory right is now largely united behind her. If the local and devolved elections are poor for the Conserva… (View Post)

Indeed and less than 10% combined of the even relatively small current Tory parliamentary party, only ones I could see possibly going LD of those are Nokes and Hoare. Though if Cleverly replaced Bade… (View Post)

Nothing much else on tonight so C5 got a good night to show it (View Post)

If Plaid were pushing independence hard, more of their current voters would be sticking with Labour or going Reform. The UK government will of course ignore any independence push anyway (View Post)

Wales has always been far more pro Union and anti devolution let alone independence than Scotland. In 1997 the Welsh devolved parliament referendum barely scraped home while in Scotland about 3/4 vot… (View Post)