Remember in 2017 Corbyn got a hung parliament, 40% of the vote and was just an extra 30 seat gains from the Tories from becoming PM. In 1975 Thatcher was seen as an unelectable rightwinger, by 1979 s… (View Post)

The LDs got 12% on July 4th, below even Reform who got 14%. The LDs did well by taking almost all the Tory Remain seats left in southern England and most of the Tory seats they won in 1997 and 2001 a… (View Post)

Jenrick was at Cambridge with Braverman and they got on, if she backs him rather than defects to Reform that suggests she thinks he will reach out to Farage voters. At the moment the momentum is with… (View Post)

Biden probably at worst still wins Minnesota, Colorado, New Mexico, Virginia and maybe even Michigan, the last debate made little real poll impact and there is only 1 more scheduled. I would not be s… (View Post)

1990 was totally different as polls showed Major and Heseltine well ahead of Kinnock while Thatcher trailed Kinnock. Harris by contrast often polls worse than Biden. The idea Harris is Churchill is a… (View Post)