Looks like a landslide win for the Union in West Germany then at the constituency level with just patches of SPD seats left mainly around the big cities. A clean sweep for the CSU in Bavaria but an A… (View Post)

For Reform to get to 31% I would expect the Tories to be lower than 23% though and the LDs also to be higher than 9% (View Post)

Kemi's problem as I said at the time is while she can hold most 2024 Tory voters, she is not centrist enough for Labour and LD voters who preferred Cleverly or Tugendhat and she is not populist … (View Post)

About 10 with FPTP at best, with PR though even at 10% of the vote the Tories could still win 65 seats (View Post)

In the 19th century the Tories and Conservatives under Derby and for a time Disraeli were often the party of tariffs and protectionism and under Liverpool the Corn Laws and the Whigs and Liberals wer… (View Post)