7 SF safe seats, 2 DUP safe seats and 1 lean DUP and 1 lean Alliance and 7 tossups. Though there is zero chance of SF winning South Antrim which they give SF the advantage in, in 2019 SF got just 11%… (View Post)

66 seats even on this MRP poll (which includes tactical voting too) would NOT be an extinction level event for the Tories on any definition. The Conservatives would still be the main Opposition, stil… (View Post)

Yes, as expected only a marginal difference from the Trump guilty verdict in the polling. However the 6% net of Independents being less likely to vote for him now than more likely is key as they will… (View Post)

Surely Rishi, net worth 3/4 of a billion, Sunak can cough up a few quid for his target seats? (View Post)

Rishi can at least likely shout on July 5th then 'i avoided apocalypse! I avoided apocalypse! I may have led the Tories to their most catastrophic/horrendous/very very bad result in their histor… (View Post)