It is going to the wire and will come down to Pennsylvania and North Carolina, Harris needs to win one and Trump both (View Post)

Even Corbyn won graduates, they aren't the key swing voters now, the key swing voters now are white lower middle class and skilled working class middle aged voters with a mortgage who voted for … (View Post)

If Harris wins NC then she can probably still win even if she loses Pennsylvania. North Carolina has an above average percentage of college graduates and African Americans so is probably her best cha… (View Post)

So most swing voters in seats the Tories lost to the LDs (View Post)

By contrast, Tugendhat and Cleverly are seen as more effective messengers, but with ineffective messages. Tugendhat does not share Jenrick’s belief in the systemic failure of the British state — argu… (View Post)