Currently a Tory and Reform government is more likely under PR than FPTP while Labour would almost certainly lose its majority under PR on current polls whereas with FPTP has a 50% chance of retainin… (View Post)

Outside of North London and university towns and cities and areas with large Muslim populations yes he is. Rural and provincial UK hate Starmer in a way they never hated Blair and Brown was more popu… (View Post)

Competition: 1 Highest share of the vote in 2025 with a BPC registered pollster in a GB wide poll for each of Lab, Con, LD, Reform. L 30 C 28 LD 14 R 25 2 Lowest share of the vote in 2025 with a BPC … (View Post)

Thanks Ben P for the 2025 predictions post, I will have a think and post my answers later (View Post)

MRP Poll || Labour 48 Short LAB: 278 (-133) CON: 157 (+36) RFM: 120 (+115) LDM: 47 (-25) SNP: 24 (+15) GRN: 3 (-1) PLC: 2 (-2) INDs: 0 (-5) Via @stonehaven_uk, Dec 2024. Changes w/ GE2024. https://x.… (View Post)