You say that but had Ken Clarke beaten Hague for the Conservative leadership in 1997 would he have beaten Blair in 2001? Probably not. Had Portillo beaten IDS for the leadership in 2001 would he have… (View Post)

Yes the spa towns aren't looking good for the Tories and heading yellow (though the Conservatives held most of the rural wards around Tunbridge Wells with a smattering of Independents even if th… (View Post)

Not sure that is entirely true, a hard working local councillor is often very respected, sometimes even more than the local MP if not too partisan and they can sort out problems with pavements, plann… (View Post)

Except Harlow and Walsall, yes (View Post)

Yes, if the London Mayoral election was tied then Camden and Barnet should go clearly Tory. Enfield and Haringey, City and East and Greenwich and Lewisham would be the key swing areas closest to the … (View Post)