On UNS Sir John Curtice is forecasting a result closer to what Michael Howard got in 2005 for Sunak than what Major got in 1997 and Hague got in 2001. On an MRP forecast though Curtice says the Tory … (View Post)

The PMs who worked the longest hours this century are Brown and Sunak, it didn't make them the best however. The Reagans used to watch soap operas in the evening at the White House and he was on… (View Post)

I would expect the Tories do be back up a bit with the young then, the Tories poll best with the young under unpopular Labour governments eg the Tories highest voteshare amongst under 35s in the last… (View Post)

That would be the same LBJ who stepped down in 1968 only to see his VP Humphrey become Democratic nominee and lose the November general election to Nixon? (View Post)

Well the GOP could have nominated Haley, who most Democrats would have grudgingly accepted had she won and would likely easily have beaten Biden and got well over 50%. Yet no, they had to nominate th… (View Post)