If Harris wins NC then she can probably still win even if she loses Pennsylvania. North Carolina has an above average percentage of college graduates and African Americans so is probably her best cha… (View Post)

So most swing voters in seats the Tories lost to the LDs (View Post)

By contrast, Tugendhat and Cleverly are seen as more effective messengers, but with ineffective messages. Tugendhat does not share Jenrick’s belief in the systemic failure of the British state — argu… (View Post)

It is also a mistake to say the Tories will only win again with Cameron 2. Indeed Starmer is more Brown or Ed Miliband 2 than Blair 2 (View Post)

Of course the UK could then drop a nuclear bomb on Moscow in return. Though if Trump wins Starmer will clearly just follow what he decides in any peace terms, he and Lammy clearly have less interest … (View Post)