The LDs should make gains from 2021 as they are polling at least as well as then while the Tories are down about 10% from the 36% they got then. However Tory county councillors without Reform candida… (View Post)

I doubt it, the LDs are not trusted by centre left voters after the coalition and right of centre opponents of Labour will vote Tory or Reform still. At general elections the LD vote remains largely … (View Post)

I think Haley would have outperformed Trump as she does better with Independents and white women than him but yes De Santis or Pence would probably have underperformed Trump as they have less appeal … (View Post)

I didn't watch last night's debate, I was at a dinner and I doubt that many members will have watched it either. My vote for Jenrick has already been cast. It seemed a largely pro Badenoch … (View Post)

A swing of 3.5% from Labour to Tory since the GE is hardly disastrous (View Post)