Yes because the government did the biggest U-turn that any government in peace time has done before. But given there was broadly two strategies (mitigate and suppression) with some quite overlapping … (View Post)

The government has opted for a peashooter when it needs a bazooka. The policy strategy will be lucky to survive for more than 2 weeks. The Daily Mail front page the day after the Budget last week was… (View Post)

Here's mine: 1) Nation states are the crucial power holders, supported by multilateral organisations. 2) The vast majority of people are terrible at understanding risk including key decision makers. … (View Post)

We need a few different types of test. We have the gold-standard for confirmation that you are sick. This should be reserved for those on the front-line and should be close to 100% sensitive and spec… (View Post)

Hopefully we have learnt the lesson from Italy. Despite London being a few weeks ahead, lockdowns within countries don't work and in fact make the problem worse. (View Post)