CAN WE STOP SAYING SUPERMAJORITY Ahem Yes - I think this is what makes this a particularly tricky election to predict and bet on. Small national swings could have big seat swings. A few people will m… (View Post)

He is a bit of a weirdo. But this can be fine. Thatcher was deeply weird, for example. The issue is more that he doesn't understand how weird he comes across (like his unfortunate factory visit Q&… (View Post)

Based on the last five years I'm predicting nothing about the next five! (View Post)

My original prediction is recorded on here somewhere. I'm somewhat less bullish on the Tories now (I had them on 200-odd when soggy Sunak announced snappy lex. Day before prediction: Labour (inc Chor… (View Post)

True, but then you could go back further than that. Johnson was the first PM who truly prioritised optics over governing. (View Post)